There are two versions of what has happened in the past three weeks in the battle to be US President. One is the version told by most nationwide polls and accepted by the media; the second, told by a minority of nationwide polls, including YouGov, and most polls in the ...
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With so much of this year’s campaign focusing on taxes and tax policy, it might seem unlikely that prospective voters could still be swayed by learning a basic fact about the U.S. tax system. However, last week’s YouGov survey found that 44% don’t know it—and that they are 6 points ...
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Over the course of this year, I have been following the “Birther” controversy. Barack Obama continues to be plagued by rumors that he is not a natural-born citizen of the United States and, as a result, is not eligible to serve as president. These rumors have shown surprising resilience among ...
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Throughout the year, I have been tracking beliefs about President Obama’s citizenship (see here and here). From September 15-17, 2012, YouGov again surveyed 1000 Americans and asked whether “Barack Obama was born in the United States of America.” In the table below, I present these results, alongside the polls that I ...
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Polls throughout the 2012 campaign have consistently found that women support Obama by a wide margin, prompting speculation that the gender gap could prove decisive to the election outcome.   A YouGov poll of 1000 Americans this week finds that Obama leads Romney (51% to 41%) among women, whereas the candidates ...
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