In the final day before the election, there has been no change in the numbers for Governor and U.S. Senate in Ohio.Among likely voters there has been little to no change in their decision of whom to vote for.
In the race for Governor, Republican John Kasich continues to lead incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland by 3 percentage points. In the race for U.S. Senate, there was always no change as Republican Rob Portman continues to lead Democrat Lee Fisher by 13 percentage points.
Senate
| October 25-28, 2010 | October 28-31, 2010 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lee Fisher | 39% | 40% | 35% | 39% |
Rob Portman | 47% | 53% | 49% | 52% |
Governor
| October 25-28, 2010 | October 28-31, 2010 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ted Strickland | 44% | 45% | 41% | 45% |
John Kasich | 44% | 48% | 44% | 48% |
Little shift towards Republicans among voter groups, Democrats gain support from Independents
While there was little change in the overall numbers in the race for Governor and U.S. Senate, there was some small shifting among voter groups but it resulted in little change in the vote margin.
The lead that Republican Gubernatorial candidate John Kasich has over Democrat Ted Strickland continued to remain the same among likely voters who are men and among white voters. Democrat Ted Strickland built on his small lead among Independents, and now leads Kasich by 13 percentage points among Independents.
In the race for U.S. Senate Republican Rob Portman continues to lead Democrat Lee Fisher among both men and women, and among all age groups. Democrat Lee Fisher benefitted, as Independents made up their mind gaining 10 percent more support among this group, and is now trailing Portman by only 6 percentage points among them.
Methodology
Interviews with 1000 registered voters, including 805 likely voters, were conducted October 25-28, 2010, and interviews with 700 registered voters, including 560 likely voters, were conducted October 28-31, 2010, online using YouGov's PollingPoint panel. YouGov uses a matched sample methodology that selects respondents to match the Ohio registered voter population in terms of demographics (age, race, gender, education, employment status, income, marital status, children), past voting behavior, and political attitudes (interest in politics, party registration, and ideology).
