U.S. Senate Race Gets a Little Closer in Pennsylvania
by YouGov Staff in Politics
Sun October 31, 6:28 p.m. PDT
In the final day before the election, the race for U.S. Senate appears to be tightening, with Republican Pat Toomey's lead over Democrat Joe Sestak dropping from 6 percentage points to 4 among likely voters.
| October 25-28, 2010 | October 28-31, 2010 | |||
| Registered Voters | Likely Voters | Registered Voters | Likely Voters | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sestak | 40% | 44% | 41% | 44% |
| Pat Toomey | 46% | 50% | 46% | 48% |
| October 25-28, 2010 | October 28-31, 2010 | |||
| Registered Voters | Likely Voters | Registered Voters | Likely Voters | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Onorato | 37% | 41% | 39% | 40% |
| Tom Corbett | 46% | 50% | 47% | 51% |
Independents move towards Republicans
Both the Republican candidates for U.S. Senate and Governor gained some ground among likely voters who self identify as Independent. Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate Joe Sestak lost support while Republican Pat Toomey gained support, and now leads among Independents by 5 percentage points. Sestak has consolidated his base to make up for some of the support he has lost among Independents, and now receives 86 percent among likely voters who are Democrat. Sestak has also picked up support among likely voters aged 18 to 29 years of age.
Republican Gubernatorial candidate Tom Corbett now leads Democratic candidate Dan Onorato by 12 percentage points among Independents, and has also grown his lead among men and white voters. Democrat Dan Onorato has been able to strengthen his base as he now receives 81 percent support among Democrats.
Methodology
