by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Thu September 20, 6 a.m. PDT
Democratic President Barack Obama holds an eight-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Nevada, 51% Obama to 43% Romney, in a poll of 588 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 91% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 90% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents favor Romney over Obama, 52%-32%.|
|Women overwhelmingly favor Obama by 56%-39%, and men slightly favor Romney, 47%-45%.|
|Obama leads in Clark County (55%-36%).|
|Romney leads in Washoe County (53%-44%), and leads 64%-32% in the rest of the state.|
|The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (63%-33%). The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (53%-40%).|
Republican candidate Dean Heller holds a 42%-35% lead over Democratic Senate candidate Shelley Berkley, in a seat being vacated by retiring Republican Senator John Ensign.
Voters in Nevada are leaning in favor of voting for Republican candidates for the U.S. House, with 39% intending to vote for the Republican candidate for the House in their district, and 35% for the Democrat. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 588 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error ± 5.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Click here for a complete report of results