by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Fri September 21, 2012 6 a.m. PDT
Democratic President Barack Obama holds a 14-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Connecticut, 53% Obama to 39% Romney, in a poll of 705 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|Partisan loyalty is not as strong as it is in other states, but 89% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 84% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents split, 48% for Obama and 40% for Romney.|
|Women favor Obama by 56%-34%, while the race is closer among men in the Nutmeg state, 50% Obama-44% Romney.|
|Obama leads in the New York suburbs (55%-35%), around Hartford (54%-36%), in the eastern part of the state (52%-45%), and Romney leads only in western Connecticut (66% Romney-29% Obama).|
|The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (53%-41%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (64%-29%).|
Republican candidate Linda McMahon leads Democrat Chris Murphy, 45%-40%, in the race for the seat being vacated by retiring Senator Joe Lieberman.
Voters in Connecticut are leaning decisively in favor of voting for Democratic candidates for the U.S. House, with 49% intending to vote for the Democratic candidate for the House in their district, and 30% for the Republican. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 705 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error ± 4.5% (adjusted for weighting).
Click here for a complete report of results