by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Fri September 21, 2012 9 a.m. PDT
Democratic President Barack Obama leads Republican challenger Mitt Romney by 22 points in Maryland, 58% Obama to 36% Romney, in a poll of 749 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 91% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 89% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents are nearly evenly split, 43% for Obama and 44% for Romney.|
|Women heavily favor Obama by 66%-28%, while men favor the President only narrowly, 48%-45%.|
|Obama leads Romney in Baltimore City (78%-16%), the DC suburbs (74%-21%), and the Baltimore suburbs (51%-40%).|
|Romney leads Obama in the rest of the state (56%-39%).|
|The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (54%-44%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (75%-20%).|
In the race for Senate, Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Cardin holds a 20-point lead over Republican challenger Dan Bongino (50%-30%).
Voters in Maryland are much more likely to vote Democratic in congressional races this fall. 52% intend to vote for the Democratic House candidate in their district, while only 30% intend to vote Republican.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 749 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error + 4.2% (adjusted for weighting).
Click here for a complete report of results