by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Fri September 21, 2012 10 a.m. PDT
Democratic President Barack Obama trails Republican challenger Mitt Romney by six points in Missouri, 49% Romney to 43% Obama, in a poll of 809 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 93% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 95% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents tilt Republican, 40% for Obama and 52% for Romney.|
|Women favor Obama by 48%-43%, while men favor Romney by 54%-38%.|
|Obama leads in St. Louis City and County (65%-28%).|
|Romney leads in every other region, including the Kansas City area (47% Romney-42% Obama).|
|The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (59%-34%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (59%-33%)|
Incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill holds a narrow 45%-38% lead over Republican challenger Todd Akin.
In the Governor’s race, incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon holds an 18-point lead over Republican challenger Dave Spence, 51%-33%, with 16% undecided.
Voters in Missouri are leaning decisively in favor of voting for Republican candidates for the U.S. House, with 45% intending to vote for the Republican candidate for the House in their district, and 35% for the Democrat. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov’s panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 809 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error ± 4.0 (adjusted for weighting).
Click here for a complete report of results