by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Fri September 21, 9 a.m. PDT
Democratic President Barack Obama holds a 24-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in New York, 58% Obama to 34% Romney, in a poll of 1,562 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|In New York:|
|Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 89% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 90% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents favor Obama over Romney 47%-39%.|
|Women overwhelmingly favor Obama by 62%-30%, and men favor Obama 55%-39%.|
|Obama overwhelmingly leads in New York City (74%-20%). Obama also leads in the Hudson Valley by 51%-39%, and in urban upstate New York by 48%-42%.|
|Romney leads in rural upstate New York by 51%-40%.|
|In Long Island, Obama and Romney are split 46%-46%.|
|The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (72%-16%). The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (52%-43%).|
Incumbent Democratic Senator Kristen Gillibrand holds a 52%-25% lead over Republican Senate challenger Wendy Long.
Voters in New York are leaning in favor of voting for Democratic candidates for the U.S. House, with 49% intending to vote for the Democratic candidate for the House in their district, and 30% for the Republican. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 1,562 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error ± 2.7% (adjusted for weighting).
Click here for a complete report of results