by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Fri September 21, 2012 10 a.m. PDT
In Tennessee, Republican Presidential challenger Mitt Romney holds a seven point lead over Democratic incumbent Barack Obama, 49% Romney to 42% Obama, in a poll of 789 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 91% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 90% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents are leaning heavily towards Romney, 54% for Romney and 28% for Obama.|
|Women favor Obama by 47%-44%, while men favor Romney by 55%-36%.|
|Obama has a strong lead in Memphis/ West (62%-32%), and all other regions currently favor Mitt Romney.|
|Older voters age 65+ favor Romney (69%-26%). All those under age 45 favor Obama, with the youngest age 18-29 (52%-37%) and those age 30-44 (51%-38%) producing similar results.|
Incumbent Republican Senator Bob Corker holds a 49%-25% lead over Democratic Senate challenger Mark Clayton.
Voters in Tennessee lean slightly in favor of Republicans in contests for the U.S. House, with 41% intending to vote for the Republican candidate for the House in their district, and 37% for the Democrat. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from the YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 789 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error ± 3.9% (adjusted for weighting).
Click here for a complete report of results