by YouGov Staff in Politics and State Politics
Fri September 21, 2012 10 a.m. PDT
Republican Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney holds a solid, nine-point lead over Democratic President Barack Obama in Texas, 52% Romney to 41% Obama, in a poll of 1,254 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
|Partisan loyalty is extremely strong on both sides, with 96% of Democrats intending to vote for Obama and 94% of Republicans voting for Romney.|
|Independents are evenly split: 43% for Obama and 44% for Romney.|
|Women favor Obama by 48%-45%, while men favor Romney by 60%-33%.|
|Romney’s strongest lead is in West Texas (70%-22%), and in the East (58%-29%). Dallas/Ft.Worth, Houston, South Central Texas and South/Hispanic Texas are all closely fought.|
|Older voters favor Romney most strongly with the 65+ at (69%-30%) and the 18-29 age group favor Obama (48%-42%)|
In the race for Senate, Republican Ted Cruz holds a 50%-31% over Democratic candidate Paul Sadler in the race to replace the retiring Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison.
Texas voters lean toward supporting Republicans in U.S. House races, with 48% planning to vote for the Republican candidate for the House in their district, and 36% for the Democratic candidate. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from the YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 1,254 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error + 3.9% (adjusted for weighting).
Click here for a complete report of results