Tennessee

Tennessee

Mitt Romney holds an 11-point lead in Tennessee, at 53% to Romney and 42% to Barack Obama, in a YouGov poll of 697 likely voters statewide.

In Tennessee  (Oct 31-Nov 3):
Independents support Mitt Romney 59% to 32%, up from 57% to 35% in early October.
Mitt Romney has a strong lead in most regions, particularly the East (59%-35%) and Central regions (58%-36%). Obama leads in Memphis/West (61%-36%).
Net Change in Voter Intention (Likely Voters)
  Total Independents
Sept 7-14 Oct 4-11 Oct 31-
Nov 3
Sept 7-14 Oct 4-11 Oct 31-
Nov 3
Barack Obama 42% 43% 42% 28% 35% 32%
Mitt Romney 50% 52% 53% 56% 57% 59%

Republican incumbent Senator Bob Corker holds a 62%-29% lead over Democrat Mark Clayton, up from a previous 48%-27% lead back in early October.

Sampling method: Respondents were selected using sample matching.  A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2010 American Community Survey. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2010 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.

Some respondents were initially selected on September 7-14 from YouGov¹s panel, then recontacted on October 4-11 and again on October 31-November 3.  Others were selected for the first time on October 31-November 3.

Weighting:  The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.

Number of respondents: 697 likely voters. Margin of error ±4.0% (adjusted for weighting).

Click here for September 7-14 results (registered voters).

Click here for October 4-11 results (likely voters).

Click here for October 31-November 3 results (likely voters).


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