- Article
Democrats hold narrow lead in the House while Republicans have a slight edge in the Senate, according to new YouGov model
The second release of YouGov's 2024 congressional model shows Republicans maintaining a slight edge to control the Senate, and Democrats a slim favorite to win the House.
16 Oct 2024 - Article
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump as YouGov's latest MRP 2024 presidential estimates show very close race
The second release of YouGov's model estimating 2024 presidential-election votes in every state shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 250 electoral votes to 219, with 69 electoral votes as tossups.
16 Oct 2024 - Article
How YouGov's MRP model works for the 2024 U.S. presidential and congressional elections
A guide to the methodology behind YouGov's use of multilevel regression with post-stratification (MRP) to project how Americans will vote in the 2024 election.
24 Sep 2024 - Article
Republicans are favored to win the Senate, and Democrats to win the House, in new YouGov model
YouGov shows Republicans with a slight edge to control the Senate, and Democrats more likely than not to control the House. This would be a reversal from the current Congress, in which Democrats control the Senate and Republicans control the House.
23 Sep 2024 - Article
Kamala Harris holds a narrow lead over Donald Trump in YouGov's first MRP estimates of the 2024 presidential election
We have Harris leading in 23 states and Washington D.C. with 256 electoral votes and Trump leading in 25 states with 235 electoral votes.
11 Sep 2024 - Article
Which states would want to outlaw abortion if the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade?
YouGov estimates of public opinion on abortion show that support for legal abortion in most or all cases is above 50% in many states that have recently tightened rules on abortion or are considering it.
16 Sep 2021 - Article
YouGov 2020 MRP Model Forecasts
Doug Rivers and Delia Bailey provide details of how YouGov's MRP model works and what the results show for the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
03 Nov 2020