The Daily Show and YouGov set out to determine who would have the best shot at becoming America’s next President Trump. But what if Donald Trump's family also had to run against the patriarch himself? Survey respondents were given the names of two members of the Trump family in a series of head-to-head matchups and asked which they would rather make president of the United States.
Here’s the good news for Donald Trump: Republicans are likely to choose him as their nominee, and see his son Don Jr., favorably.
Here’s the bad news for Donald Trump: He loses the popular vote to his wife and eldest daughter.
Melania and Ivanka Trump tie in The Daily Show/YouGov poll with an overall win percentage of 57. The lead for both women holds up across genders, age and race. Melania, notably, is slightly more popular with women and non-white Americans.
President Donald Trump ties with Lara Trump, Eric’s wife, in this fantasy, intra-Trump ballot. They both have a win percentage of 51. Donald Trump does better with white Americans, men and those 55 and older.
Looking through a partisan lens tells a different story.
Rather than Donald Trump, or even Melania or Ivanka, Democrats would likely choose Tiffany Trump (win percentage of 75) as their top choice candidate. Ivanka’s husband Jared Kushner also does well here. The senior adviser to the president scored his highest marks among Democrats with a win percentage of 53 against his 45 percent in the overall poll.
As expected, Republicans line up behind Donald Trump (win percentage of 88), but pay a nod to his namesake’s rising political fortunes. Donald Trump Jr. scores second place among Republicans in The Daily Show/YouGov poll with a win percentage of 65.
Methodology: The Daily Show/YouGov survey consisted of 1,133 panelists and ran between August 24 - 25. Every person was randomly assigned to see eight Trump family members, which appeared in four random head-to-head matchups. For each, respondents were asked to indicate which they would prefer to become the next president. YouGov scored individuals by looking at their “win percentage”: how often were they selected in a head-to-head matchup. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all US adults (aged 18+).
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