What Americans think about the 2024 presidential race

David MontgomerySenior data journalist
January 23, 2024, 3:33 AM GMT+0

Biden vs. Trump by demographics

Here are the breakdowns of support for Biden and Trump by political identity, gender, educational attainment, and age:

Who Americans expect to win

This chart shows who Americans expect to win in a 2024 presidential race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump:

How excited Biden and Trump supporters are

A chart showing the share of Biden supporters and Trump supporters who say they're either "very enthusiastic" or "extremely enthusiastic" about the 2024 presidential election, over time.

Joe Biden job approval

This chart shows approval and disapproval of Joe Biden's job as president:

Favorability of Biden, Trump, and Kamala Harris

This chart shows the shares of Americans with very or somewhat favorable views of Joe Biden, Donald Trump, and Kamala Harris.

Vote preference among voters who dislike both Biden and Trump

This chart shows preferences over time in the 2024 presidential race among those registered voters who have a very or somewhat unfavorable opinion of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

Generic congressional ballot

This chart shows registered voters' preference for U.S. Congress, between "the Democratic candidate" and "the Republican candidate."

Most important issues

Below is a chart showing which shares of Americans name which issues as most important to them. Click on the chart to toggle to displays of issue importance among Democrats and Republicans.

Methodology: Respondents were selected for each survey from YouGov’s opt-in panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to a fixed date, and is weighted to the estimated distribution on that date. The margin of error for the overall sample usually is approximately 3%.

Image: Getty