What Americans think about the 2024 presidential race

David MontgomerySenior data journalist
January 23, 2024, 3:33 AM GMT+0

Biden vs. Trump by demographics

Here are the breakdowns of support for Biden and Trump by political identity, gender, educational attainment, and age:

Who Americans expect to win

This chart shows who Americans expect to win in a 2024 presidential race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump:

Joe Biden job approval

This chart shows approval and disapproval of Joe Biden's job as president:

Generic congressional ballot

This chart shows registered voters' preference for U.S. Congress, between "the Democratic candidate" and "the Republican candidate."

Most important issues

Below is a chart showing which shares of Americans name which issues as most important to them. Click on the chart to toggle to displays of issue importance among Democrats and Republicans.

Methodology: Respondents were selected for each survey from YouGov’s opt-in panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to a fixed date, and is weighted to the estimated distribution on that date. The margin of error for the overall sample usually is approximately 3%.

Image: Getty