What Americans think about the 2024 presidential race

David MontgomerySenior data journalist
January 23, 2024, 3:33 AM GMT+0

Nov. 8, 2024 note: This article will no longer be updated now that the election is over.

The Economist and YouGov have surveyed Americans since April 2023 about their views on the 2024 presidential race. Here are the most recent survey results:

Voter preference for Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris or Joe Biden, over time

Harris vs. Trump by demographics

Here are the breakdowns of support for Harris and Trump by political identity, gender, educational attainment, and age:

Who Americans expect to win

This chart shows who Americans expect to win in a 2024 presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris or Joe Biden:

How excited Democrats and Republicans are

A chart showing the share of Biden supporters and Trump supporters who say they're either "very enthusiastic" or "extremely enthusiastic" about the 2024 presidential election, over time.

Joe Biden job approval

This chart shows approval and disapproval of Joe Biden's job as president:

Favorability of Biden, Trump, and Kamala Harris

This chart shows the shares of Americans with very or somewhat favorable views of Joe Biden, Donald Trump, and Kamala Harris.

Generic congressional ballot

This chart shows registered voters' preference for U.S. Congress, between "the Democratic candidate" and "the Republican candidate."

Most important issues

Below is a chart showing which shares of Americans name which issues as most important to them. Click on the chart to toggle to displays of issue importance among Democrats and Republicans.

Methodology: Respondents were selected for each Economist / YouGov Poll from YouGov’s opt-in panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to a fixed date, and is weighted to the estimated distribution on that date. The margin of error for the overall sample usually is approximately 3%.

Image: Getty

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