The Economist and YouGov have surveyed Americans since April 2023 about their views on the 2024 presidential race. Here are the most recent survey results:
Here are the breakdowns of support for Biden and Trump by political identity, gender, educational attainment, and age:
This chart shows the preferences over time for the GOP presidential nominee among registered voters who are Republicans or Independents who lean Republican:
This chart shows who Americans expect to win in a 2024 presidential race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump:
Methodology: Respondents were selected for each survey from YouGov’s opt-in panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to a fixed date, and is weighted to the estimated distribution on that date. The margin of error for the overall sample usually is approximately 3%.