Harris wins the debate: Voters say she has clearer plans and tells fewer lies than Trump

Taylor OrthDirector of Survey Data Journalism
David MontgomerySenior data journalist
Carl BialikU.S. Politics Editor and Vice President of Data Science
September 11, 2024, 9:01 PM GMT+0

On Tuesday, presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump met for the first time on the debate stage, for a debate hosted by ABC. In a series of surveys, we gauged reactions among registered voters in the debate's immediate aftermath, finding that most who saw the debate view Harris as the victor.

Harris is seen as having laid out a clearer plan for her presidency than Trump, while Trump is likelier to be seen as telling more lies than Harris. Most Republicans think the debate moderators — whom few were familiar with prior to the debate — were biased in favor of Harris; most Democrats think they were fair. One question asked about Taylor Swift's endorsement of Harris just after the debate; most voters expect it will help Harris' campaign.

Two-thirds of registered voters say they watched at least some of the Harris-Trump debate on Tuesday, September 10. Nearly half say they watched all or most of it. A similar share said they watched the debate between Biden and Trump on June 27.

Among registered voters who watched at least some of the debate, 54% think that Harris was the winner, while 31% say Trump was. The vast majority of Democratic voters who watched — 90% — say Harris won, while 68% of Republicans think Trump did. Independents are more likely to believe Harris was the winner, by 53% to 25%.

A survey just after Biden's and Trump's debate earlier this summer found that 49% of voters who watched at least some of it thought Trump had won, while 31% thought Biden had.

During Tuesday's debate, more voters think that Harris (46%) laid out a clearer plan for what she'd do if elected than think Trump did (32%). A somewhat greater share of registered Democrats (84%) think their candidate had a clearer plan than the share of registered Republicans who think their candidate did (69%).

More registered voters see Trump as having told more lies or exaggerations during the debate than Harris than say Harris told more lies (48% vs. 33%). 76% of registered Democrats think Trump was more untruthful during the debate, while only 15% of registered Republicans do; 64% say Harris was.

Voters generally thought that Harris spent more time during the debate explaining what she'd do if elected (42%) rather than attacking her opponent (35%). The opposite is true for Trump: 52% think he spent more time on the attack, while 28% think he was focused on explaining his plans.

Overall, 43% of registered voters say moderators David Muir and Linsey Davis were fair and unbiased, while 29% say they were biased in favor of Harris and 4% say they were biased in favor of Trump. Most registered Democrats (71%) say the moderators were unbiased; only 18% of registered Republicans agree while 55% say the moderators were biased in favor of Harris.

Just after the debate, Taylor Swift announced her endorsement of Harris in a post on Instagram. Most voters (54%) think Swift's endorsement will help Harris' campaign at least a little while only 4% think it will hurt the campaign; 24% think it will have no effect, and 17% are not sure. Democratic voters are more confident than Republicans and Independents that Swift's endorsement will benefit Harris.

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Methodology: This article includes results from three Daily Questions surveys. The first was conducted online on September 10 - 11, 2024 (shortly after the conclusion of the debate) among 3,378 U.S. adults. A second was conducted September 11, 2024 among 3,326 U.S. adults. A third was conducted on September 11 among 4,585 U.S. adults. The samples were weighted according to gender, age, race, education, U.S. census region, and political party. The margin of error for each survey is approximately 2%.

See the results for the polls conducted after the debate:

Image: Getty

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