Surveys just after Maduro's capture show Americans are divided on U.S. military action in Venezuela

Carl BialikU.S. Politics Editor and Vice President of Data Science
Taylor OrthDirector of Survey Data Journalism
January 05, 2026, 10:25 PM GMT+0

Americans are deeply divided on the recent U.S. military action in Venezuela to capture Venezuela President Nicolás Maduro and take control of Venezuela and its oil industry, according to 27 questions asked of U.S. adults on a series of seven brief surveys in a 48-hour period immediately after Maduro was captured.

Among the areas of nearly even division about the U.S. action in Venezuela:

One way of accounting for the split is that Americans are skeptical of unilateral international intervention by their government while holding mostly negative feelings about Maduro. Americans are twice as likely to say Trump should have sought congressional authorization for his action than to say he shouldn't have (51% vs. 23%). And more Americans say their foreign-policy preference for Latin America is "the U.S. should be a good neighbor and avoid interfering in domestic affairs" than say they more closely align with a policy that "the U.S. should intervene militarily to set right flagrant wrongdoings" (46% vs. 27%). Only 29% think recent U.S. military actions in and near Venezuela generally have followed U.S. law, while 39% say the actions generally have violated U.S. law.

But Americans also generally have negative views of Maduro and his leadership. 36% think the U.S. is better off with Maduro overthrown and only 10% say the U.S. would do better with Maduro remaining in power (55% are not sure). 41% say Maduro should be found guilty of any of the U.S. government's charges against him; only 12% say he shouldn't (47% are not sure).

Opinion was more sharply negative toward military action in Venezuela before the capture of Maduro. An increase in the share of Republicans with positive opinions about military intervention and the justification for the Venezuela action mostly accounts for the change. There has been an increase since just before Maduro's capture among Republicans in the beliefs that Maduro presented a "national emergency" (polls before and after Maduro's capture), that U.S. foreign military interventions more often improve situations in the countries where they occur (before and after), that the probability of a world war have fallen (before and after), and that Trump could call for military action in Venezuela without congressional authorization (before and after).

Broader opinion about intervention changed among both Democrats and Republicans: Democrats have become less supportive of the U.S. taking an active part in world affairs, and Republicans more supportive, than they were a month before.

More Americans generally question Donald Trump's fitness for handling Venezuela and the military than give him a vote of confidence. More are negative than positive about Trump's ability to deal wisely with an international crisis (53% uneasy vs. 36% confident); America's standing in the world in his second term (44% worsened vs. 32% improved); Trump's handling of Venezuela (46% disapprove vs. 39% approve) and the military (51% disapprove vs. 39%); and Trump’s ability to be an effective commander in chief (50% not too or not at all confident vs. 41% very or somewhat confident).

Related:

— David Montgomery contributed to this article

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See the results of these polls:

January 3, 2026 | 2,092 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 2.7 points

January 3, 2026 | 1,902 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 2.8 points

January 3, 2026 | 1,030 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 3.5 points

January 3-4, 2026 | 1,041 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 3.1 points

January 4, 2026 | 991 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 3.6 points

January 4, 2026 | 2,050 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 2.9 points

January 4-5, 2026 | 1,477 U.S. adults | margin of error +/- 2.8 points

Methodology: The seven Daily Questions surveys were conducted online between January 3 - 5, 2026 among U.S. adults, with between 991 and 2,092 respondents on each survey. For each survey, the samples were weighted according to gender, age, race, education, U.S. census region, and political party. The margin of error for the overall sample on each survey is between approximately 2.7 points and 3.6 points.

Image: Getty (Michael M. Santiago)