The presumed Democratic nominee for president, Joe Biden, continues to hold onto a nine-point national lead over President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49 percent to 40 percent. Just one in 11 registered voters say they are undecided (6%) or will cast their ballot for another individual (3%) in the 2020 election.
The overall trial heat numbers from the Economist/YouGov Poll have not shifted in recent weeks. Biden leads in the Northeast (57% vs 35%) and West (56% vs 33%). The Midwest (44% vs 45%) and South (46% vs 45%) are split between the two party candidates.
The former vice president continues to boast a strong lead among Black Americans (76% vs 12%), Hispanic Americans (54% vs 24%), adults under 30 years old (48% vs 28%), women (53% vs 36%), and moderate voters (58% vs 29%).
Trump continues to lead Biden among white Americans (49% vs 43%) and adults over 65 years old (49% vs 47%). Trump has regained a steady lead among Americans who do not have a college education (49% vs 41%). Last week, Biden appeared competitive with this education group (45% vs 42%).
Both candidates maintain strong margins with their political parties. Trump leads Republicans (89% vs 5%) and Biden leads Democrats (90% vs 4%). This week, Biden slightly leads among Independent voters (41% vs 39%).
Methodology: The Economist survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 1,500 U.S. adult citizens interviewed online between August 2 - 4, 2020. This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the American Community Survey, conducted by the US Bureau of the Census, as well as 2016 Presidential vote, registration status, geographic region, and news interest. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of all US citizens. The margin of error is approximately 3.3% for the overall sample.
US Citizens were asked, “If an election for president were going to be held now and the Democratic nominee was Joe Biden and the Republican nominee was Donald Trump, would you vote for... ” Response options: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Other, Not Sure, and I would not vote.