Joe Biden holds 6-point national lead over Donald Trump

Graeme BruceBusiness Data Journalist
September 23, 2020, 4:38 PM UTC

Just five weeks remain until election day, and Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee for president, has a six-point national lead over President Donald Trump among registered voters, new Economist/YouGov Poll data shows. 

Compared to Trump, the former vice president still gets strong support from Black (78% vs 2%) and Hispanic Americans (61% vs. 24%), as well as women (49% vs. 36%). This week, the data shows Biden also has significant support among 18- 29-year-old registered voters (50% vs. 27%) and 30- 44-year-olds (52% vs. 30%). Looking at education levels, Biden also has a slight edge over his opponent among those with some college (43% vs. 39%), college grads (45% vs. 38%) and postgrads (58% vs. 30%). 

Meanwhile, Trump and Biden are virtually tied among men (39% for Biden vs. 40% for Trump) and among those with a high school education or less (39% vs. 40%). 

The president has an edge over Biden among older Americans, including 45- 64-year-olds (42% vs. 46%) and those over 65 (46% vs. 42%). White Americans are also more likely to vote for Trump (47% vs. 36%). 

Methodology: The Economist survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 1,500 U.S. adult citizens interviewed online between September 20 - 22, 2020. This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the American Community Survey, conducted by the US Bureau of the Census, as well as 2016 Presidential vote, registration status, geographic region, and news interest. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of all US citizens. The margin of error is approximately 3.6% for the overall sample.