
Patrick is Director of Political Analytics and YouGov's spokesman on political research. Patrick designed and delivered YouGov's industry-leading MRP models for both the 2023 Spanish and 2024 British general elections. He is responsible for election modelling and forecasting across YouGov's European markets, and leads on research and development on experimental survey designs, data analytics, artificial intelligence, segmentation models, and MRP products. His client work at YouGov focuses on producing in-depth knowledge and cutting-edge analytics, helping political parties, think tanks, pressure groups, and third sector and academic clients better understand and change their world in data. He holds a Doctorate from the University of Manchester and remains active in contributing to academic research and publications.
You can follow Patrick on Twitter at @PME_Politics
Article
How YouGov's seat projection fared at the 2025 Canadian federal election
YouGov produced the first publicly available MRP in a Canadian election. Overall, we are pleased with how the model performed on three key measures.
02 May 2025Article
Final YouGov MRP for the 2025 Canadian federal election: Liberals likely to win a majority
YouGov’s final update of the 2025 Canadian election MRP model suggests the Liberals the Liberals will win between 170 seats and 204 seats, with a central estimate of 185.
25 Apr 2025Article
How YouGov is using MRP to project the 2025 Canadian federal election
YouGov’s MRP model is more than just a poll; it utilises leading-edge data science and is based on a substantial sample of tens of thousands of interviews.
23 Apr 2025Article
First YouGov MRP of 2025 Canadian federal election shows Liberals on track to win a modest majority
YouGov’s first projection of the 2025 Canadian federal election is a Liberal majority of 20, which would see Prime Minister Carney return to 24 Sussex with small but very workable government majority.
23 Apr 2025