Republicans Ahead In Ohio Race For The Senate

October 29, 2010, 5:11 AM GMT+0

Race For Governor Too Close To Call

Republican candidate Rob Portman enters the final few days of the 2010 election campaign for the US Senate with a comfortable lead, ahead of Democrat candidate Lee Fisher by 8 points among registered voters and 13 points among likely voters.


Registered VotersLikely Voters

Lee Fisher



Rob Portman



The Gubernatorial race however remains too-close-to-call, with Republican candidate John Kasich even with Democrat candidate Ted Stickland among registered voters and only 3 points ahead among likely voters.


Registered VotersLikely Voters

Ted Strickland



John Kasich



Republicans Make Gains In Three Crucial Areas But Still Fail To Appeal To Non-whites

Republican candidates for Governor (Kasich) and Senator (Portman) hold wide leads over their Democratic opponents among likely voters age 65 and older and among likely Independent voters. The Republican Senate candidate is cruising to what could be an easy victory while the Republican Gubernatorial candidate struggles because Kasich leads Strickland among likely white voters, 52%-41%, and Portman leads Fisher among likely white voters by a wider margin, 57%-36%. Similarly, Kasich leads Strickland among likely Independent voters, 50%-43%, and Portman leads Fisher among likely Independent voters by a wider margin, 58%-35%. Kasich wins likely male voters, 55%-41%, while losing to Strickland among likely female voters, 49% Strickland – 43% Kasich, but Portman wins among both likely male voters and likely female voters. Neither Kasich nor Portman win more than 15% of the likely non-white Ohio voters. Democratic Senate candidate Fisher is having a relatively hard time holding onto the loyalties of his fellow partisans — among likely voters, only 80% of Democrats support Fisher, but 94% of Republicans support Republican candidate Portman.


Interviews with 1000 registered voters, including 805 likely voters, were conducted October 25-28, 2010, online using YouGov’s PollingPoint panel. YouGov uses a matched sample methodology that selects respondents to match the Ohio registered voter population in terms of demographics (age, race, gender, education, employment status, income, marital status, children), past voting behavior, and political attitudes (interest in politics, party registration, and ideology.

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