In the last couple of days before the election, Wisconsin provides the Republican Party with good news. Among likely voters, the Republican Gubernatorial candidate Scott Walker leads Democrat Tom Barrett by 10 percentage points. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson leads Democratic candidate Russ Feingold by 6 percentage points.
Senate
| Registered Voters | Likely Voters | |
|---|---|---|
Russ Feingold | 47% | 46% |
Ron Johnson | 49% | 52% |
Governor
| Registered Voters | Likely Voters | |
|---|---|---|
Tom Berrett | 44% | 43% |
Scott Walker | 50% | 53% |
Independent and Male voters give Republicans the edge
In the race for Governor, Republican Scott Walker leads Democratic candidate Tom Barrett by 8 percentage points among likely voters who identify as Independents. Walker has a larger lead of 26 percentage points over Barrett among likely male voters. The race for U.S. Senate is more competitive among Independents, with a tie between Democrat Russ Feingold and Republican Ron Johnson each receiving 48 percent of the support. The support of likely male voters is in the Republican’s favor, with Johnson holding a 19 point lead over Feingold.
Methodology
Interviews with 1000 registered voters, including 842 likely voters, were conducted October 25-30, 2010, online using YouGov’s PollingPoint panel. YouGov uses a matched sample methodology that selects respondents to match the Wisconsin registered voter population in terms of demographics (age, race, gender, education, employment status, income, marital status, children), past voting behavior, and political attitudes (interest in politics, party registration, and ideology).
