Who Biden will pick for VP – and who he should pick

Graeme BruceBusiness Data Journalist
August 03, 2020, 10:00 AM GMT+0

A new Yahoo News / YouGov Poll shows nearly two in five (39%) Democrats think Joe Biden will pick California Senator Kamala Harris as his running mate, but fewer think he should (33%).

The survey of 1,500 Americans comes as presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has told reporters that he will announce his running mate selection by the end of next week.

Setting aside political affiliation, Harris is the front-runner across many demographics, particularity Black (31%) and Hispanic (32%) Americans, as well as those ages 30-44 (28%), 45-64 (26%) and those over 65 years old (26%)

However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is more favorable among those age 18-29 (29% saying he should pick Warren vs. 17% for Harris) and white Americans (26% for Warren vs. 21% for Harris). Those who intend to vote for President Donald Trump (22%) are also most likely to believe Biden should pick Warren. Among Independents, Warren and Harris are virtually tied (22% vs. 21% respectively).

About one in five (18%) Democrats think Biden will invite Warren onto the Democratic ticket, while roughly the same (20%) think he should.

Among Democrats, 12 percent say Biden will pick former national security adviser Susan Rice, while the same (12%) say he should. As for former Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams, eight percent say he will pick her, while nearly the same (9%) think he should. Four percent of Democrats think Biden will pick Senator Tammy Duckworth – six percent think he should.

Further Yahoo News / YouGov data suggests Biden’s choice could attract voters. About one in five (19%) of registered voters not voting for President Trump say Biden’s choice could convince them to support him, while 29 percent of Independents they could be convinced.

Methodology: The Yahoo! News survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 1,506 US adult residents interviewed online between July 28-30, 2020. This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the American Community Survey, conducted by the US Bureau of the Census, as well as 2016 Presidential vote, registration status, geographic region, and news interest. The margin of error for the entire sample is ±3.3%

Image: Getty