Michigan: Biden holds six-point lead

October 11, 2020, 3:01 PM GMT+0

Democrat Gary Peters in tighter Senate race, ahead 47% to 44% among likely voters

The latest CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 52% to 46% among likely voters in Michigan.

Biden has a clear lead with women voters (57% to 41%) while President Trump holds the edge among men (51% to 46%). The Democrat’s support is divided between those backing him in order to oppose Donald Trump (45%), those supporting him because they like him (36%), and those who plan to vote for him because he is the Democratic nominee (19%).

Meanwhile, the president's supporters are primarily motivated to vote for Donald Trump because they like him (68%), with notably smaller groups voting for him in order to oppose Joe Biden (18%) or because he is the Republican nominee (14%).

Half (51%) of Michigan’s likely voters plan to vote by mail or absentee ballot, including two thirds (69%) of Democrats, around half (49%) of Independents and a third (34%) of Republicans. Two in five (41%) are looking to vote in person on Election Day, a figure that contains three in five (59%) Republicans, two in five (42%) Independents and just under a quarter (23%) of Democrats. The remaining 8% are planning on voting in person before November 3rd, which is evenly split between Independents (9%), Democrats (8%) and Republicans (7%).

In Michigan’s US Senate race, incumbent Democrat Gary Peters holds a three-point advantage over Republican challenger John James, leading 47% to 44%. The candidates are each being backed by 91% of their parties’ supporters while Peters holds a slim advantage among Independents (45% to 41%).

See the toplines from this week’s CBS News/YouGov Poll

Methodology: This survey was conducted on behalf of CBS News by YouGov between October 6-9, 2020. They are based on representative samples of 1,215 registered voters in Michigan. The margin of error for registered voters is ±3.2 points in Michigan.