The latest CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker shows Democrat Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 51% to 46% among likely voters in Wisconsin — a state that the President won by less than one percentage point in 2016.
![](https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/images/choice-for-president-leaners-WI.format-webp.webp)
Biden has a clear lead with women voters (56% to 42%) while President Trump holds the edge among men (51% to 46%). The Democrat’s support is divided between those backing him in order to oppose Donald Trump (49%), those supporting him because they like him (33%), and those who plan to vote for him because he is the Democratic nominee (18%).
Three in five (60%) Wisconsin likely voters now say Trump is most concerned about the wealthy and elite, while a plurality (47%) believe Biden is most focused on the middle class. Most Wisconsin voters (58%) like how Biden handles himself personally, while two-thirds (68%) dislike how Trump handles himself personally.
![](https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/images/focus-WI.format-webp.webp)
But that is not necessarily the case for the president's supporters. They are motivated to vote for Trump overwhelmingly because they do like him (62%), with notably smaller groups voting for him in order to oppose Joe Biden (24%) or because he is the Republican nominee (14%).
Almost four in five (79%) likely voters in the state who have not yet cast their ballot have decided how they will vote, with 16% saying they probably won’t change their choice, and 5% saying they still might. Almost all Democrats (86%) and Republicans (78%) have decided, as have around three quarters (73%) of Independents.
Two in five (43%) of Wisconsin’s likely voters plan to vote by mail or absentee ballot, including over three in five (63%) of Democrats, over a third (36%) of Independents and three in ten (30%) Republicans. A similar proportion (40%) are looking to vote in person on Election Day, a figure that contains over half (55%) of Republicans, two in five (44%) Independents and just a fifth (20%) of Democrats. The remaining 17% are planning on voting in person before November 3rd, which is relatively evenly split between Independents (20%), Democrats (17%) and Republicans (15%).
See the toplines from this week’s CBS News/YouGov Poll
Methodology: This survey was conducted on behalf of CBS News by YouGov between October 13- 16, 2020. They are based on representative samples of 1,124 registered voters in Wisconsin. The margin of error for registered voters is ± points in Wisconsin. For the trial heat reported in this article, the numbers for “presidential vote intention with leaners allocated” were used.
Image: Getty