More Americans now say Ukraine is winning the war than say Russia is

Carl BialikU.S. Politics Editor and Vice President of Data Science
Taylor OrthDirector of Survey Data Journalism
April 01, 2022, 5:49 PM GMT+0

According to the latest Economist/YouGov poll, American attitudes about the war in Ukraine continue to shift toward higher ratings of Ukraine’s chances of prevailing and remaining independent.

Americans’ view of the current state of the war shifted in favor of Ukraine in the past week: 22% say Ukraine is currently winning the war, while 20% say Russia is. That reverses the position a week ago and is a big change from when we first asked the question in early March; then, 38% said Russia is winning and 14% said Ukraine was. The share who say neither country is winning has increased and now includes 37% of Americans.

Far more Americans also now think Ukraine will be an independent nation a year from now than said so a few weeks earlier. By a margin of 38% to 23%, Americans now say it is more likely that Ukraine will be independent a year from now than under Russian control. Those figures were 24% and 40%, respectively, three weeks earlier.

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky also has passed Russia President Vladimir Putin in terms of the percentage of Americans who think each leader will remain in power in a year, 43% to 36%.