Trump retains his big lead over other Republican presidential hopefuls

David MontgomerySenior data journalist
November 17, 2023, 2:08 AM GMT+0

Donald Trump maintains a consistent lead for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, with far more support than any of the host of other candidates in the race.

In the most recent Economist / YouGov poll, conducted Nov. 11 - 14, 2023, Trump has the support of 56% of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican. That's in line with the support Trump has received for months.

In recent weeks, candidates including Mike Pence and Tim Scott have suspended their campaigns. But the narrowing of the field hasn't changed the shape of the race. Trump would still hold a comfortable lead if candidates were ranked by how many list them as their first or second choice preferences..

Some of the remaining major GOP candidates, minus Trump, participated in a televised presidential debate on Nov. 8, 2023. Americans who watched the debate or saw news coverage of the debate are most likely to identify Nikki Haley as the debate's winner, with 24% saying she won and 13% naming the next-highest candidate, Vivek Ramaswamy.

Among only Republicans who followed the debate, 24% name Ramaswamy as the winner, followed by Haley at 22% and Ron DeSantis at 18%.

Carl Bialik contributed to this article

See the toplines and crosstabs from the Economist/YouGov poll conducted on November 11 - 14, 2023 among 1,500 U.S. adult citizens.

Methodology: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to November 1, 2022, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (33% Democratic, 31% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

Image: Getty