When do Americans think LeBron James' NBA scoring record will be broken?

Linley SandersData Journalist
February 09, 2023, 6:13 PM GMT+0

On Tuesday, Los Angeles Lakers star LeBron James set a new record for the most career points scored in the NBA — breaking a record set by Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, a former Laker who had passed previous record-holder Wilt Chamberlain in 1984.

Americans do not expect James to hold on to his title for as long as Abdul-Jabbar did, according to a new YouGov poll of more than 7,000 U.S. adults. Most people (53%) expect that James' record will be surpassed by another player within 30 years; only 9% say it will take longer or never happen, and 38% are unsure. People who are very interested (78%) or somewhat interested (69%) in the NBA expect that there will be a new player who earns the all-time scorer title within 30 years.

Abdul-Jabbar was in the arena as James broke the record and congratulated him during an in-game ceremony by handing off the basketball that James shot to break the record.

By a margin of 48% to 25%, Americans say that if they personally broke a record, they would want to witness someone else passing them in their lifetime. More than one-quarter (28%) are uncertain. People who are interested in the NBA are more likely to say that they would want to see someone else break their record — though it's worth noting that this question was asked just after Abdul-Jabbar showed up to see his record broken.

— Taylor Orth and Carl Bialik contributed to this article

See the results from this poll:

Methodology: This Daily Questions survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 7,808 U.S. adults interviewed online on February 8-9, 2023. The samples were weighted to be representative of the U.S. population, based on gender, age, race, education, U.S. census region, and political party.

Image: Getty Images (Ronald Martinez)