November 04, 2012, 4:30 PM GMT+0

Mitt Romney holds an 19-point lead in Texas, 57% to Romney and 38% Barack Obama, in a YouGov poll of 1,563 likely voters statewide.

In Texas ( Oct 31-Nov 3):
Independents support Mitt Romney 56% to 35%, an upward shift from 50% to 41% in early October.
Mitt Romney leads in all Texas regions with strongest support in the West (78%-19%), and East (61%-26%).
Net Change in Voter Intention (Likely Voters)
  Total Independents
Sept 7-14 Oct 4-11 Oct 31-
Nov 3
Sept 7-14 Oct 4-11 Oct 31-
Nov 3
Barack Obama 41% 41% 38% 37% 41% 35%
Mitt Romney 53% 55% 57% 51% 50% 56%

In the race for the Senate, Republican Ted Cruz holds a 57%-36% lead over Democratic candidate Paul Sadler in the race to replace the retiring Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison

Sampling method: Respondents were selected using sample matching.  A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2010 American Community Survey. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the Registration and Voting Supplements of the 2008 and 2010 Current Population Surveys and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.

Some respondents were initially selected on September 7-14 from YouGov¹s panel, then recontacted on October 4-11 and again on October 31-November 3.  Others were selected for the first time on October 31-November 3.

Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, and non-placement on an ideology scale.

Number of respondents: 1,563 likely voters. Margin of error ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting).

Click here for September 7-14 results (registered voters).

Click here for October 4-11 results (likely voters).

Click here for October 31-November 3 results (likely voters).