Florida: Biden and Trump virtually tied

Candice JaimungalSocial Media Contributor
October 25, 2020, 5:10 PM UTC

The Democrat is edging the Republican by 50% to 48% among the state’s likely voters 

The latest CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker shows Joe Biden and Donald Trump virtually tied (50% vs. 48%) among likely voters in Florida.  

The President has the overwhelming backing of White voters without a college degree (64% to 34%) while the candidates are neck-and-neck among White voters with college degrees (49% Biden, 48% Trump).  

The Democratic nominee has the support of nine in ten (92%) Black voters in the state and leads Donald Trump by 63% to 37% among Hispanic voters. The President has a nine-point edge among seniors (53% vs. 44%) while Joe Biden has a large majority of the voters under the age of 30 (68% to 29%). 

The Democrat’s support is divided between those backing him in order to oppose Donald Trump (45%), those supporting him because they like him (39%), and those who plan to vote for him because he is the Democratic nominee (16%). 

But that is not the case for the President's supporters. They are primarily motivated to vote for him because they like him (70%), with notably smaller groups voting for him in order to oppose Joe Biden (21%) or because he is the Republican nominee (9%).  

Among likely voters who have not yet voted, half (49%) plan to vote in person on 3 November - a figure that is made up by half (56%) of Republicans and Independents (50%) and over a third (37%) of Democrats. Two in five (43%) plan to vote in person before Election Day, including half (51%) of Democrats, two in five (41%) Independents and around the same proportion of Republicans (38%). The remaining 8% say they are voting by mail or absentee ballot. 

See the toplines from this week’s CBS News/YouGov Poll 

Methodology: This survey was conducted on behalf of CBS News by YouGov between October 20-23, 2020. It is based on a representative sample of 1,243 registered voters in Florida. The margin of error for likely voters in Florida is ±3.6 points. 

Image: Getty