Democratic President Barack Obama leads Republican challenger Mitt Romney by seven percentage points in New Hampshire, 47% Obama to 40% Romney, in a poll of 361 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
New Hampshire was not included in the re-contact of voters October 4-11
|In New Hampshire:|
|Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 93% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 90% of Republicans are voting for Romney.|
|Independents split in Obama’s favor, 46%-33%.|
|Women favor Obama by 51%-37%, while men are split, 43% to 43%.|
|Obama leads on the New Hampshire Seacoast, 60%-34%, while the other regions in the state are more closely contested.|
|The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (55%-35%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (60%-22%).|
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 361 registered voters statewide.
Margin of error + 6.4% (adjusted for weighting).
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