Larry Bartels
  • Dueling Tax TruthsArticle

    Dueling Tax Truths

    With so much of this year’s campaign focusing on taxes and tax policy, it might seem unlikely that prospective voters could still be swayed by learning a basic fact about the U.S. tax system. However, last week’s YouGov survey found that 44% don’t know it—and that they are 6 points ...

    15 Oct 2012
  • Debate Prep: 11% Of Americans Grasp The Ryan BudgetArticle

    Debate Prep: 11% Of Americans Grasp The Ryan Budget

    Under the budget proposed by Paul Ryan, federal spending on everything other than Medicare and Social Security would decline over the next 20 years … (a) from 22% of GDP to 18.5% of GDP (b) from 22% of GDP to 14.5% of GDP (c) from 14.5% of GDP to 11.5% ...

    11 Oct 2012
  • The Fiscal Facts of Life: Do Americans Understand Where Budget Deficits Come From?Article

    The Fiscal Facts of Life: Do Americans Understand Where Budget Deficits Come From?

    Mitt Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan as his running mate puts fiscal policy—government spending, taxes, and debt—squarely in the center of this year’s presidential campaign. The latest YouGov survey suggests that expectations about future budget deficits under President Obama or President Romney were having a major impact on prospective voters’ ...

    11 Aug 2012
  • Democratic Principles Are Sometimes InconvenientArticle

    Democratic Principles Are Sometimes Inconvenient

    The practice of judicial review has been enshrined in the American political system since 1803, when the Supreme Court in the landmark case Marbury v. Madison successfully asserted its authority to judge the constitutionality of laws passed by Congress. Nevertheless, the American public is surprisingly ambivalent about the principle of ...

    20 May 2012
  • Our Own FactsArticle

    Our Own Facts

    “Everyone is entitled to his own opinions,” Daniel Patrick Moynihan famously said, “but not to his own facts.” Unfortunately, a decade of political science has demonstrated that, when it comes to politics, the line between facts and opinions is often blurred and occasionally obliterated. The current election season provides some ...

    12 Mar 2012
  • What's Really at Stake in the Payroll Tax Fight -- And Why It Isn't OverArticle

    What's Really at Stake in the Payroll Tax Fight -- And Why It Isn't Over

    Next month, Congress will once again face the question of how to extend a temporary payroll tax cut that has been in effect for the past year. Republicans tried their best to duck that debate—and with good reason. As long as the issue is framed in terms ...

    13 Jan 2012
  • Can We Balance the Budget by Cutting NPR?Article

    Can We Balance the Budget by Cutting NPR?

    Americans like the idea of reducing government spending but mostly oppose cuts in specific programs. A new YouGov survey suggests that anti-deficit rhetoric may do little to bolster public support for budget-cutting.

    01 Feb 2011
  • On Taxes, an Energized MinorityArticle

    On Taxes, an Energized Minority

    When is a winning issue a losing issue? When the subject is taxing affluent Americans.

    26 Oct 2010