Democratic President Barack Obama holds a small three-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Ohio, 47% Obama to 44% Romney, in a poll of 1,082 voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.
Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 93% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 93% of Republicans are voting for Romney.
Independents favor Romney over Obama 48%-38%.
Women favor Obama by 51%-38%, while men favor Romney 50%-43%.
Obama overwhelmingly leads in the Cleveland region of the state (73%-24%). Obama also holds a small lead in Northwest/Toledo by 47%-43%.
Romney leads in the Columbus region by 47%-38%, and in the South/Cincinnati region by 55%-37%.
In the eastern region of Ohio Obama and Romney are split 44%-44%.
The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (59%-37%).
Incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 46%-41% lead over Republican Senate challenger Josh Mandel.
Voters in Ohio are leaning in favor of voting for Republican candidates for the U.S. House, with 42% intending to vote for the Republican candidate for the House in their district, and 39% for the Democrat. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.
Sampling method: Respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from YouGov’s panel, an opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.
Number of respondents: 1,082 registered voters statewide
Margin of error ± 4.3% (adjusted for weighting)
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