Washington State

September 21, 2012, 1:00 PM GMT+0

President Barack Obama holds a strong 13-point lead over Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney in Washington state, 52% Obama to 39% Romney, in a poll of 939 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.

In Washington:

Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, with 95% of Democrats intending to vote for Obama and 92% of Republicans favoring Romney.

Independents are divided with 44% for Romney and 40% for Obama.

Women favor Obama by 58%-33%, while men favor Obama by a much narrower margin, 47%-45%.

Obama has solid support in King County (65%-29%) and leads Romney in Puget Sound (55%-36%), and holds a nominal lead in the Southwest region (46%-43%).

Romney leads the East (56%-35%)

The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (54%-43%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (63%-24%).

The Democratic incumbent for the Senate, Maria Cantwell, leads Republican challenger Michael Baumgartner by a strong margin (50%-37%).

In a tight Washington state Gubernatorial race, voters are leaning towards Democratic candidate and former Congressman Jay Inslee 46% over Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna 43%. Democratic Governor Chris Gregoire is retiring.

Voters in Washington favor a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House, with 45% intending to vote for the Democratic candidate for the House in their district, and 39% for the Republican. The poll was conducted online September 7-14, 2012.

Sampling method: Respondents were selected from the YouGov’s panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey. Matching respondents were selected from the YouGov panel, an opt-in Internet panel.

Weighting: The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale.

Number of respondents: 939 registered voters statewide.

Margin of error ± 3.9% (adjusted for weighting).

Click here for a complete report of results