Doug Rivers is one of the world’s leading experts on survey research and a successful Silicon Valley entrepreneur. He has taught at Harvard University, Caltech, UCLA, and, most recently, Stanford University, where he is Professor of Political Science and Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution.
Doug has founded two successful technology companies, Preview Systems and Knowledge Networks. Preview Systems pioneered the field of digital rights management, conducted a successful IPO in 1999 and was sold in 2001. As CEO of the company he was named Executive of the Year (2000) by Research Business Report and received the Innovator's Award by the American Association of Public Opinion Research (2001).
He is also a CBS News consultant and has published academic papers in numerous journals including the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science and the American Economics Review, to name a few. He holds a B.A. from Columbia University and a Ph.D. from Harvard University
ArticleDemocrats lead narrowly in the House while Republicans have an edge in the Senate, according to our final MRP estimates
The third and final release of YouGov's model shows Republicans taking the Senate by a narrow margin, and Democrats gaining control of the House by an even smaller margin.
01 Nov 2024- Article
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump narrowly in YouGov's final MRP 2024 presidential estimates
The third and final release of our model estimating 2024 presidential-election votes in every state shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 50% to 47% in the national popular vote less than a week before Election Day.
01 Nov 2024 - Article
Democrats hold narrow lead in the House while Republicans have a slight edge in the Senate, according to new YouGov model
The second release of YouGov's 2024 congressional model shows Republicans maintaining a slight edge to control the Senate, and Democrats a slim favorite to win the House.
16 Oct 2024 - Article
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump as YouGov's latest MRP 2024 presidential estimates show very close race
The second release of YouGov's model estimating 2024 presidential-election votes in every state shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 250 electoral votes to 219, with 69 electoral votes as tossups.
16 Oct 2024 - Article
How YouGov's MRP model works for the 2024 U.S. presidential and congressional elections
A guide to the methodology behind YouGov's use of multilevel regression with post-stratification (MRP) to project how Americans will vote in the 2024 election.
24 Sep 2024 - Article
Republicans are favored to win the Senate, and Democrats to win the House, in new YouGov model
YouGov shows Republicans with a slight edge to control the Senate, and Democrats more likely than not to control the House. This would be a reversal from the current Congress, in which Democrats control the Senate and Republicans control the House.
23 Sep 2024 - Article
Kamala Harris' debate win hasn't yet won her new voters, but more like her and see her as qualified
Harris was the clear winner of the debate but her narrow lead over Trump in the election was the same after the debate as before it.
12 Sep 2024 - Article
Kamala Harris holds a narrow lead over Donald Trump in YouGov's first MRP estimates of the 2024 presidential election
We have Harris leading in 23 states and Washington D.C. with 256 electoral votes and Trump leading in 25 states with 235 electoral votes.
11 Sep 2024 - Article
Kamala Harris leads in four of seven swing states in the latest Times/SAY24 polling
YouGov polled Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin and showed Harris leading in four. Democratic candidates lead in all five states with a Senate race.
06 Sep 2024 - Article
Times/SAY24 swing-state polls show Biden trailing and Democratic Senate candidates leading
YouGov polled seven battleground states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – and showed the long odds Biden faces for getting re-elected. Democratic Senate candidates are doing better.
15 Jul 2024